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Our Performance

Historical errors on the top collections on both Solana and Ethereum
We report our test set error rates (i.e., the most recent 25% of data that we do not fit nor overfit hyperparameters to) to provide the best estimate of how accurate our price estimates are going forward.
We encourage the community to hold us to our error rates and to benchmark us with future price estimates we generate.

ARE vs MRE

We report both (average relative error) ARE and (median relative error) MRE so that we can be compared to other price estimate APIs, but we argue that ARE is a less gameable metric compared to MRE.
Both metrics measure how well we do across many historical price estimates. We compare historical sales transaction prices with the price estimate we could have issued immediately before. We then take the absolute relative error across all these sales transactions.
The lower the ARE/MRE, the better the price estimates.
For example, if a sales transaction for DeGods #7388 occurred at 12:30PM for 10 SOL, and our most recent price estimate was at 12:15PM for 9.8 SOL, then our relative error would be 2%.
ARE takes the mean/average across all relative errors. MRE takes the median instead. MRE is gameable because you only need to do well on 50% of all data points, and have arbitrarily large errors on the other 50%. Most collections have >50% of transactions occur near floor, so you could have quite low MRE if you just emit the floor price every time. ARE will punish you severely since your errors will be very large for above floor sales.
MRE also always tend to skew lower than ARE (errors are right heavy-tailed since it's difficult to predict well on above floor NFTs) so it's a vanity metric at best.
Relative error is also not the best metric (it is not right-sized against the variance in the sales price of the collection): but alas, it is the most intuitive for us mortals.

Solana NFT Statistics

Sorted in ascending Average Relative Error (ARE) over our test set.
Collection
Contract address
ARE
MRE
Lfinity Flames
EWyWxSkxWHWGzxfCd9kG7zGrKTUDbZGiV6VbFJF8YfqN
3.7%
1.8%
Portals
5grvMeoBqv5ZdHq9JMy5RrxLPNAt1nzc9cpqYWFUwizz
3.7%
2.2%
Shadowy Super Coder
71ghWqucipW661X4ht61qvmc3xKQGMBGZxwSDmZrYQmf
4.3%
2.4%
Quantum Traders
7YXM2jx3psc7qTFmN25CDkjumqq8V9jcWAQwCZaK5Cws
6.9%
4.0%
Taiyo Robotics
AsbhrsY4posEBmZ8vyAooKtpvyJoWQWTqsSnnZpDmChn
7.7%
5.6%
Boryoku Dragonz
DRGNjvBvnXNiQz9dTppGk1tAsVxtJsvhEmojEfBU3ezf
8.3%
6.6%
Mindfolk
4wTTi885HkQ6awqRGQkHAdXXzE46DyqLNXtfo1uz5ub3
9.6%
6.9%
DeGods
9MynErYQ5Qi6obp4YwwdoDmXkZ1hYVtPUqYmJJ3rZ9Kn
10.3%
5.6%
Famous Fox Federation
D3XrkNZz6wx6cofot7Zohsf2KSsu2ArngNk8VqU9cTY3
10.7%
4.6%
Stone Ape Crew
7RCBr3ZQ8yhY4jHpFFo3Kmh7MnaCPi1bFuUgXUB9WURf
10.8%
7.3%
The Remnants
4WoKtYvL2XG4Rbcmux2oWKw9QxXbXCvTRm6LcHMYDmB6
11.3%
5.5%
SolGods
ALNcW6QDNf7H4iNiTM3FD16LZ4zMGyEeCYQiE1AbCoXk
11.9%
6.8%
Thugbirds
AvkbtawpmMSy571f71WsWEn41ATHg5iHw27LoYJdk8QA
12.1%
7.7%
The Suites
AQ98oUJQuTsX446cYJgEJJRTnQL4b2LiaFTp95nfa2qc
12.5%
2.8%
Catalina Whale Mixer
DvZfhaWCjA2uCWgimRm6F59vHkeXyGvEvvVQPhiqosn2
13.5%
7.4%
Solana Monkey Business
9uBX3ASjxWvNBAD1xjbVaKA74mWGZys3RGSF7DdeDD3F
15.4%
7.5%
Degen Ape Academy
9BKWqDHfHZh9j39xakYVMdr6hXmCLHH5VfCpeq2idU9L
18.3%
10.5%
Aurory
9vwYtcJsH1MskNaixcjgNBnvBDkTBhyg25umod1rgMQL
20.4%
6.7%
Galactic Geckos
FEg3mmpcrcRsVTuc2n3oghHpRvAtEJJau4KWjaPpLKcA
22.8%
8.8%
Nyan Heroes
FpDKQ92HJYXvNBjLLvejh4gvVZwR28oGoaz36GdupcPp
23.5%
7.5%

Ethereum NFT Statistics

Sorted in ascending Average Relative Error (ARE) over our test set.
Collection
Contract address
ARE
MRE
Cool Pets NFT
0x86c10d10eca1fca9daf87a279abccabe0063f247
3.5%
2.2%
Mutant Ape Yacht Club (MAYC)
0x60e4d786628fea6478f785a6d7e704777c86a7c6
8.6%
4.5%
Bored Ape Kennel Club (BAKC)
0xba30e5f9bb24caa003e9f2f0497ad287fdf95623
8.7%
4.9%
Cool Cats NFT
0x1a92f7381b9f03921564a437210bb9396471050c
8.9%
5.2%
3Landers
0xb4d06d46a8285f4ec79fd294f78a881799d8ced9
8.9%
5.4%
Invisible Friends
0x59468516a8259058bad1ca5f8f4bff190d30e066
10.1%
6.3%
mfers
0x79fcdef22feed20eddacbb2587640e45491b757f
10.4%
5.7%
Karafuru
0xd2f668a8461d6761115daf8aeb3cdf5f40c532c6
10.8%
6.3%
Doodles
0x8a90cab2b38dba80c64b7734e58ee1db38b8992e
10.9%
5.8%
CyberKongz
0x57a204aa1042f6e66dd7730813f4024114d74f37
11.4%
9.0%
Meebits
0x7bd29408f11d2bfc23c34f18275bbf23bb716bc7
12.4%
8.1%
Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC)
0xbc4ca0eda7647a8ab7c2061c2e118a18a936f13d
13.2%
7.7%
CrypToadz by GREMPLIN
0x1cb1a5e65610aeff2551a50f76a87a7d3fb649c6
13.2%
6.9%
CryptoPunks
0xb47e3cd837ddf8e4c57f05d70ab865de6e193bbb
13.4%
8.4%
Azuki
0xed5af388653567af2f388e6224dc7c4b3241c544
13.4%
7.6%
HAPE PRIME
0x4db1f25d3d98600140dfc18deb7515be5bd293af
13.7%
8.9%
NFT Worlds
0xbd4455da5929d5639ee098abfaa3241e9ae111af
13.8%
8.0%
World of Women
0xe785e82358879f061bc3dcac6f0444462d4b5330
14.2%
8.1%
Pudgy Penguins
0xbd3531da5cf5857e7cfaa92426877b022e612cf8
14.3%
9.1%
MekaVerse
0x9a534628b4062e123ce7ee2222ec20b86e16ca8f
15.8%
9.9%
0N1 Force
0x3bf2922f4520a8ba0c2efc3d2a1539678dad5e9d
16.6%
11.1%
Loot (for Adventurers)
0xff9c1b15b16263c61d017ee9f65c50e4ae0113d7
17.0%
9.1%
CLONE X - X TAKASHI MURAKAMI
0x49cf6f5d44e70224e2e23fdcdd2c053f30ada28b
18.0%
10.3%